I Take Back Everything I Said This Year About the American Public

Maybe they are paying attention, or maybe it just took a long time for them to actually pay attention and see how much better a choice President Obama is for our future rather than the walking disaster that is Mitt Romney.  And admittedly, this turn in the status of the race since the conventions could be because we are all realizing what a horrendous candidate Mitt Romney is.  But perhaps the American public is just starting to pay attention and is rejecting once and for all the conservative ideas of the past decade, including lower taxes on the rich (done in 2001 and 2003 and abject failures for our economy), war with everyone all the time (done in 2002 and 2003 and abject failures for everyone involved), you're on your own with respect to health care (aka "let's eliminate Obamacare and Medicare and let health care costs continue to explode so you better hope you're healthy"), huge tax breaks for corporations who send jobs overseas and for the richest oil companies in the world (aka core Republican values of every single conservative candidate for office ever), the poor, senior citizens, veterans, soldiers, the disabled -- you're all on your own (aka the "47%" speech from Romney) and of course, "we built that" -- the lie that every success in America was done entirely on your own with no help from anyone, including public schools, roads, bridges, police forces, fire departments, patent laws, anti-trust laws, environmental laws that keep the water you drink safe etc. etc. etc. (aka the Fox News meme for the past 3 months).  After it all, it's just good to see polls like these.  Obama should be crushing Romney -- despite the weak economy and despite his middling approval numbers -- because middling performance is so much better than the disaster that was the Bush presidency.  It looks like that is finally happening as I fear now that we see Mittens up close, the Bush presidency would have been a high-water mark that Romney would have struggled to achieve.

The New York Times, in collaboration with Quinnipiac University and CBS News, is tracking the presidential race with recurring polls in six states. In Ohio — which no Republican has won the presidency without — Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney 53 percent to 43 percent in the poll. In Florida, the president leads Mr. Romney 53 to 44 percent in the poll.

The surveys, which had margins of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points for each candidate, also included a Pennsylvania poll, where Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney by 12 percentage points.

To recap:

Ohio - Obama +10 (53-43)

Florida - Obama +9 (53-44)

Pennsylvania - Obama +12 (54-42)

This poll was conducted by telephone from Quinnipiac University's interviewing facility September 18--24, 2012. The number of likely voters interviewed in each state is 1,196 in Florida, 1,162 in Ohio and 1,180 in Pennsylvania.

Oh and it does appear that in fact the hatred of Obama among the white working class, which we've heard all year from the misinformed media (possibly including this blog), is strictly a hatred of Obama among Southern whites.  We can discuss why that is the case (cough, racism, cough) but the reason for Obama's big lead in Ohio is not because their demographics have changed, but because the white working class -- the strongest demographic group for Romney -- actual like Obama in the midwest.  Kind of surprising but also quite heartening.

Comments

[Julia]

I was surprised Mali was 90% Muslim – that could make for an isnreentitg election dynamic for himHaving lived/traveled in this part of Africa, I had three thoughts. First, tribalism trumps religion, bigtime. One could make the reasonable argument that tribalism and Islam are linked. But at the end of the day it comes down to implied patronage due to tribal affinity.Second, the Islam of this part of Africa is not very strident. I can't think of another region where Islam is more culture and casual. They have their own breweries in Bamako.Third, compared to what the French think, support from Utah is inconsequential. France continues to exert self-serving control over most of African members of the Francophonie. For most French speaking Africans, France remains a Leopold-esque parasite on the continent.

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I really like it when people get together and share views.
Great blog, continue the good work!